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Research Article #25 - Low Volatility Factor Effect in Cryptocurrencies
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Research Article #25 - Low Volatility Factor Effect in Cryptocurrencies

Study of a volatility factor in cryptocurrencies

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pedma
Feb 01, 2024
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Research Article #25 - Low Volatility Factor Effect in Cryptocurrencies
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๐Ÿ‘‹ Hey there, Pedma here! Welcome to the ๐Ÿ”’ exclusive subscriber edition ๐Ÿ”’ of Trading Research Hubโ€™s Newsletter. Each week, in this series, I share my personal trading experiences and journey, offering you the behind the scenes into how I manage my own portfolios, my trading performance, new research for trading strategies and general content aimed at helping traders with the experience Iโ€™ve accumulated for the past 6 years.

My mission is full transparency by building a public and undeniable track record of my performance. As I navigate through the markets, I'll be sharing every step of the journey โ€“ the ups, the downs, and everything in between. I donโ€™t see many real traders, trading real capital doing this in public. While I cannot claim to be the best trader in the industry, which I am certainly not, I am in the depths of the market every day. My plan is to share all the lessons I learn with you, the reader. I hope you will join me on this journey!


Introduction

Hey everyone, Pedma here!

Thank you for your patience with this weekโ€™s strategy. I was not confident in one of the strategies that I was working on, so I decided to not release it last weekend.

I also now have a friend helping me with coding these strategies, so that way we will be able to provide strategies faster and more efficiently.

I will try to keep these as short and as practical as I can.

I donโ€™t want to give you a lecture on the theoretical behind these ideas, thereโ€™s other sources for that.

I aim for more frequency rather than academic research.

Today we have a pretty good strategy.

It produced around $1.1M of returns while at the same time Bitcoin only produced $650k in returns for the same allocation.

Obviously these are hypothetical results based on historical data and only time would tell if these are accurate.

Nonetheless as weโ€™ll see below, it offered a pretty interesting risk profile, with way lower risk than an average BTC hold.

This is a long/short portfolio which makes it more attractive from the standpoint that it can help smoothing out returns.

Letโ€™s get into the strategy below!


Index

  • Introduction

  • Index

  • Thesis for the Strategy

  • Strategy Parameters

  • Strategy Performance and Results

  • Code Section


Thesis for the Strategy

The efficient market theory suggests that itโ€™s impossible to consistently achieve higher returns than the overall market, due to all information already being priced in.

However some studies show that some simple strategies can potentially beat the market.

Some of these strategies include:

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